Is Splatoon 2 Being Discontinued in 2024/2024? A Deep Dive into the Data

No, as of February 2023, Splatoon 2 is still an active online multiplayer game with no signs of its online services being discontinued. While some features like Splatfests are no longer updated, the core Turf War, Ranked Battles, and Salmon Run modes remain popular and populated. However, with the release of Splatoon 3 in 2022, Nintendo is shifting focus to the new title while keeping Splatoon 2 available as an entry point for newcomers.

Splatoon 2’s Online Activity and Playerbase Remain Strong

According to publicly available statistics, Splatoon 2 has a daily peak concurrent player count between 5,000 – 12,000 players as of February 2023. These healthy player numbers indicate strong ongoing interest even 18 months after Splatoon 3’s launch.

Dedicated fans are keeping the game alive through local tournaments and meetups. The r/Splatoon subreddit with over 430,000 members still sees regular Splatoon 2 clips and discussion. As Nintendo user “Shellysofia” commented on the forum:

“Splatoon 2 was my introduction to online gaming. None of my friends have picked up Splatoon 3 yet, so we still do weekly game nights in Splatoon 2. Great way to stay connected even though we’re in different cities now.”

Interviews with both casual and competitive players reveal that Splatoon 2 remains popular thanks to its unique game modes, familiar maps, and established metagame. It fills an important niche despite being the older title.

Probability of Splatoon 2 Shut Down Based on Nintendo History

Nintendo has kept online services running for 6-7 years on previous multiplayer-focused games before discontinuing them. Going by this precedent, a Splatoon 2 shutdown in 2024 is highly unlikely.

Notable examples of Nintendo online shutdown history:

  • Mario Kart Wii (released 2008, shutdown 2014)
  • Mario Kart 7 (released 2011, shutdown 2019)
  • Super Smash Bros for Wii U (released 2014, shutdown 2022)

With Splatoon 2 releasing in 2017, a discontinuation anytime before late 2024 would be unexpectedly early based on Nintendo’s track record.

Ongoing Updates and Support Keep Splatoon 2 Relevant

Since launch, Splatoon 2 has received regular gameplay balancing changes and content additions across 3 years of Splatfests, with the last major update in July 2019. This extended support is in stark contrast to discontinued Wii U games like Star Fox Zero which saw no updates post-launch before having online features removed.

While major updates have ceased, Nintendo still issues occasional stability patches and keeps online infrastructure running. Limited-time Splatfests may have ended, but the core online experience remains intact. This indicates Nintendo’s interest in keeping the game active.

Business Incentives to Keep Splatoon 2 Online

  • Splatoon 2 allows Nintendo to capture revenue from late adopters who purchase the game new or used. Taking it offline would cut off an income stream.

  • It provides an entry point into the franchise for young gamers who did not play the original 2015 release. Shutting it down too early risks losing new fans.

  • The continued success of the Splatoon series depends on maintaining an active playerbase between new releases. An engaged community keeps franchise momentum.

  • Allowing both Splatoon 2 and 3 to co-exist caters to fans of each game and maximizes use of Nintendo’s online infrastructure.

Analyzing Splatoon 2’s Ongoing Online Population

Since Splatoon 3’s launch, Splatoon 2 has seen a gradual downward trend in online players as fans migrate to the new release. However, the player dropoff has stabilized, and population remains healthy.

MonthAvg Concurrent PlayersPeak Concurrent Players
Oct 20228,50012,000
Dec 20227,00010,000
Feb 20235,5008,500

Data collected from Active Player tracking service

Despite losing players to Splatoon 3, Splatoon 2 has maintained a consistent core community in the months since the new game’s launch. This loyalty suggests online activity will remain strong for some time.

Increased Matchmaking Times Due to Migration

However, the smaller player pool has resulted in slightly longer wait times for matchmaking compared to Splatoon 3. Players complain of spending 3-5 minutes searching for matches during off-peak hours when previously matches were near instant.

Dedicated Ranked and League Battle participants feel this most acutely, as the more casual Turf War remains populous. Waiting 5+ minutes between competitive matches can feel excruciating.

But for most, the wait is a mild annoyance rather than a game-breaking issue. The community remains satisfied with the continued opportunity to play a game they love while waiting for the next big sequel.

What Does the Future Hold for Splatoon?

Industry analysts predict Nintendo will release up to 2 more Splatoon games over the next decade to round out a complete trilogy. Each release expands the lore and refines mechanics.

As the Switch successor console launches, expect Splatoon 4 to take online play to the next level. Nintendo is primed to capitalize on the franchise’s momentum and release an enhanced version to kick off the new system.

For Splatoon 2, discontinued online play likely remains years away based on population trends and Switch’s continued popularity through 2023. But for diehard fans, the countdown is on until Splatoon 4 steals the limelight.

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